WEST VA. @ BAYLOR ~ THURS. NIGHT TV SPECIAL PREVIEW!
UNBEATEN BAYLOR HOSTS SLUMPING WEST VIRGINIA IN THURSDAY NIGHT CFB TV SPECIAL!
VEGAS ODDS: BAYLOR BEARS (-18 1/2 or -19) vs. WEST VA. MOUNTAINEERS ~ TOTAL: (57)
Well one of the remaining unbeaten’s in College Football, the Baylor Bears, will look to stay unbeaten against a slumping West Virginia team, that has really struggled on Offense (#119 overall) and it has a Defense (#79) that isn’t too good either. It’s been a hard go so far for new Mounties HC Neal Brown, as he simply has very few star players. His QB play has been erratic and the past 3 weeks West Va. has been outscored by 11, 24 and 38, losing by a combined score of 132-59. The team is averaging 22 points a week, while allowing 39 points. Being outscored by an average of 17 points per game shows they simply have been out manned most of the season.
Baylor has really been one of the surprise stories of 2019, heading into this game still unbeaten and a team capable now of sneaking into the CFB Playoff next month. The most interesting note is that this team hasn’t been dominant at Home, where crowds are nothing to write home about. Baylor last 2 home games were won by 3, in double OT, and by 2 points. Tonight they are laying 19. They will have to play much better to cover a spread of that magnitude. Baylor averages 33 points a game and allows only 19, winning by an average of 2 TD’s. But most of that wide margin occurred in the first 2 games, blowout wins over two patsies, Stephen F Austin and UTSA (#116 Offense). But still they control their own destiny ahead, needing wins over TCU on road, Home games against Oklahoma and Texas, and then a close out win @ Kansas. We’ve already seen powerhouse Oklahoma get knocked off, so the dreams in Waco are even bigger now seeing that Sooner loss.
In Baylor’s last 5 games this year, they won by 18, 3, 19, 2 and 8. Hence not once would they have actually cashed in a betting ticket laying (-19) points. Baylor under HC Matt Ruhle, in his first two games after enjoying a nice “BYE” week, got outscored (117-30), both Blowout losses. In his third try after a “BYE”, this season, he did win the game, but failed bigtime to cover the spread vs. Rice.
West Virginia simply can’t run the ball (2.9 yards per carry) (88 rush yards per game) and that is putting great pressure on a very average QB (Kendall) to make plays. Baylor is actually averaging 100 yards per game more than their opponents allow. The only bright news for West Va. coming into this game tonight is that Baylor allowed 281 rushing yards and 516 total yards.
BIG TIME REVENGE TONIGHT?:
Last season West Virginia beat Baylor in Morgantown, 58-14. They tallied 568 total yards to just 287 total yards by the Bears. The Bears had 4 turnovers, all costly. It was a complete domination by the Mounties and the Bears players fully remember that beat down. That score will definitely not be same tonight by W Va, although it could be the same score and overall result, but with Baylor the victor tonight. Baylor has a huge edge with it’s (#14) Offense vs. the Mounties (#79) Defense. The Bears should run the ball with ease tonight, especially right up the middle, gashing the weak inside Mounties Defense vs. the run. Baylor averages 203 rypg and W Va. allows 178 rypg.
A month ago I said in these articles I thought the Mountaineers Offense was looking like Northwestern’s anemic Offense, as it was nearly impossible just to complete a pass for over 7 yards. It’s really hard to win when your Offense can’t grind out drives and complete key third downs needing only 5 yards. The Defense for West Va is simply not good and seems to be running on fumes the past few weeks. This team lacks playmakers on both sides of the ball and if you bet them tonight, you are more hoping Baylor stays more to form with closer games, then you are really feeling West Virginia can actually perform well, on either side of the ball really. I am not a fan of W. Va QB Kendall, as he’s is rattled by any pass rush his way. Baylor though again, since easy two wins to start season, have been very good, but in no way Dominant. I see no value on this game tonight, and I’d expect good chance bettors of both teams will be sweating this one out til late stages.
ENJOY the GAME and “HAPPY HALLOWEEN” to you all. Please drive extra safe with kids out trick or treating too…save a kids life by just being patient…it’s the kids night…not yours.