COLTS @ SAINTS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PREVIEW (12-16)
CAN THE REELING COLTS UPSET SAINTS IN BIG EASY TO STAY IN PLAYOFF HUNT?
LAS VEGAS BETTING ODDS: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-8 1/2 to -9 1/2) vs. INDY COLTS ~ TOTAL: (47 1/2)
INDY COLTS (#22) OFFENSE (133 RUSH, 208 PASS) vs. N ORLEANS SAINTS (#14) DEFENSE (94 RUSH, 244 PASS allowed)
N ORLEANS SAINTS (#12) OFFENSE (108 RUSH, 261 PASS) vs. INDY COLTS (#15) DEFENSE (100 RUSH, 245 PASS allowed)
Well we have an interesting match up tonight as the Colts are a desperate team in need of a win to stay alive and in the Playoff Hunt, and the Saints try to possibly sneak into the #2 seed by winning out. For the Colts, Injuries to the 3 top receiving options has killed this team of late, losing 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. The Colts have played one of the toughest schedules on the Road this season, facing 4 very possible Playoff teams and the now red hot (7-7) Bucs and even the Chargers. They have been in every Road game, with none decided by over 6 points. The 6 Road games for the Colts have been decided by 2, 2, 3, 3, 6 and 6 points. The Defense isn’t helping the depleted Offense at all the past few weeks as they have allowed 69 points.
The Saints have not been as dominant at Home as in years past. They have won 5 of the 6 Home games, but they have wins by only 2, 2, 3, 7 and one blowout by 22. They lost to Atlanta at Home by 22 points. They have eclipsed the 30 point mark four times this season.
Both teams enter tonight off heart breaking losses last week, with the Colts blowing a 14 point lead against the Bucs ending with a 3 point loss. The Saints lost that epic score fest with the Niners in the final second. The Colts were out gained by a whopping 542-309 total yards margin. Saints QB Drew Brees passed for 349 yards vs. the Niners #1 Pass Defense, so the #22 Colts Pass Defense won’t have an easy time of it. The best news to come out of the Saints loss was that Brees wasn’t sacked, even with a banged up Offensive Line.
The Colts get a lift with WR T.Y. Hilton fully expected to start barring any pregame setbacks. The Colts run the ball the 5th most (395 times), but they only rush for (4.4) yards per carry. Colts QB J. Brissett has only averaged 208 yards passing per game so it’s a Must they run the ball well enough tonight not to put the pressure all on his arm. In his last 6 games, Brissett has averaged only 185 passing yards per game with just 4 TD’s and 3 Interceptions. The Colts may need to not just play well, but play their Best Offensive game all season to win here tonight. It will help the Saints Defensive Line took a massive hit last week losing two stud DL (Rankins and Davenport). The Saints Defense was #4 vs. Run, but that was before these two gigantic injuries.
The Colts have played 3 OVERS and 3 UNDERS this season and the Saints have played 3 OVERS and 3 UNDERS. The Colts are (3-1-1) ATS on the Road and the Saints are (3-3) ATS at Home this season.
One important note to watch has been both teams have really been struggling to finish games. For the Colts, this situation has hit rock bottom of late, getting outscored (31-0) in the 4th quarter in their last 3 games combined.
The Colts are reeling badly, and are praying that getting WR T.Y. Hilton back on the field will help the Offense keep the ball longer and score a few more points. The Saints do not have some miracle replacements for their 2 stud Defensive Lineman so that will likely help the passing games and their average rushing attack as well. For the Saints, with only one Home win by over a TD, they are a tough team to lay near double digits with this season. The schedule won’t get any easier though going on road to play the Titans next week. The Colts likely must win out and get some luck to sneak into the Playoffs, so this is really a Playoff game for them tonight. The Colts have played 11 games that have been decided by one score or less. They will do everything they can to keep this game close and hope for better 4th quarter fate. Last night I said we’d see a Defensive Elite type battle and we did. Tonight I don’t know if either reeling Defense will win the game for it’s team. Brees loves the spotlight and so it’s all whether Brissett can go toe to toe with him. Linesmakers did a nice job with the point spread tonight.
Enjoy the game and have a great new week ahead.