#20 VIRGINIA TAKES ON MIAMI IN ESPN FRI NIGHT LIGHTS (10-10-19)!

MIAMI TRIES TO AVOID (0-3) START IN ACC PLAY vs. #20 VIRGINIA!

VEGAS BETTING ODDS:  MIAMI (-2 1/2) vs. VIRGINIA  ~ TOTAL: (43 1/2)

The #20 ranked Virginia Cavs travel to Miami on Friday night and look to stay unbeaten in ACC play (2-0 so far). Miami will look to avoid it’s first ever (0-3) start in ACC play. Both teams come in off tough losses as they both shot themselves in the foot with 5 Turnovers. Virginia does come in off a “Bye” week, whereas Miami comes in off a game they fell behind 28-0 early to Va. Tech, only to tie the game at 35-35, to them allow a TD with 1:03 left to lose 42-35. Both teams come in with Top 15 Defenses (Virginia #13 and Miami #15) even though both allowed 35 points and 42 points in their last losses.

Virginia comes in with the #96 Offense, as they are a one dimensional team depending fully on stud QB Perkins. Last week vs. Notre Dame it looked like Virginia might pull off a huge Upset on the Road vs. a highly ranked team. But 8 sacks allowed and 5 turnovers later and that Upset was simply not to be. The Cavs Offense was on field 34 mins vs. the Irish, but the mistakes were really costly, with one fumble while being sacked by ND turned into a Fumble return TD that really took the air out of Virginia’s chances. Virginia led 17-14 but the 3rd quarter saw two turnovers turn into Irish TD’s and the lead quickly became a 28-17 deficit. After ND put together a solid 13 play drive to score it’s first TD, the rest of the game they only took very short drives to score on Va’s pretty solid Defense. Virginia out gained ND 338-332 in that loss.

Miami will start QB N. Perry as the starter J. Williams is nursing an injury. Perry passed for over 400 yards and 4 TD’s last week leading Offense that gained 563 total yards, but still couldn’t get the “W”. 

Both teams are almost mirror like teams, with both averaging 32 points a game, meanwhile both allow 21 points per game. Neither O.L. is very good and Miami O.L. is now allowing an average of 5 QB sacks per game. Tough to win games when you are always in long yardages to garner a first down. Miami’s Offense does average 85 yards per game more than the Cavs Offense.

Virginia won last years contest 16-13. Virginia is (4-1) off a “Bye” the last 5 seasons and on Defense they will be very rested playing only 26 mins two week ago vs. Notre Dame. Virginia has not had consecutive Road Wins in Conference Play since 2011. They are just (2-10) in Friday night games. 

Miami is allowing 35 points per game in ACC Play so far. They are just (1-12) ATS vs. Power 5 teams the last 16 and just (4-8) in their last dozen ACC contests. The Canes are also only (1-4) against ranked teams and they need a win here more then ever or this season might go down the tubes the rest of the way. 

FINAL POINT:

The team who gets the better of it from their O.L. will have the big edge in the final outcome. Both coming off 5 turnover games should make them more conscious of not turning the ball over. But not much you can do if your QB is getting rushed hard on every other play. Hard to think this game doesn’t stay close throughout and the winner kicks a late FG to grab the Victory.

Enjoy the game and may all your wagers this weekend be winning ones!

God Bless,

Gary Greene